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Ballad of Narayama

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Guilds pick likely '05 Oscar noms

Directors Guild (DGA)

Producers Guild (PGA)

Screen Actors Guild (SAG)

Writers Guild (WGA)

Updated January 5, 2006 -- Because the membership of the motion picture guilds -- the Writers Guild (WGA), Directors Guild (DGA), Producers Guild (PGA), Screen Actors Guild (SAG), etc. -- largely overlaps with the branches of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences who select the Oscar nominees in their categories, you can infer a lot about the Oscars based on the guilds' awards. It's rare indeed that a movie can actually win an Oscar for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay, or major acting awards without at least a nomination from the corresponding industry guilds -- or that it can win the Best Picture Oscar without first getting a nod from the PGA, DGA or WGA.

To no one's surprise, it so far looks like "Brokeback Mountain" is a shoo-in for major nominations (as are "Capote," "Good Night, and Good Luck" and "Crash"), and "Munich" is a virtual shut-out (except for Steven Spielberg's DGA nomination -- shades of "The Color Purple" in 1985). Here are the guild nominees so far:

Producers Guild

Theatrical Films

"Brokeback Mountain" "Capote" "Crash" "Good Night, and Good Luck" "Walk the Line"

Animated Film

"Chicken Little" "Madagascar" "Robots" "Tim Burton's Corpse Bride" "Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit"

Writers Guild

Original Screenplay

"Cinderella Man" "Crash" "The 40-Year-Old Virgin" "Good Night, and Good Luck" "The Squid and the Whale"

Adapted Screenplay

"Brokeback Mountain" "Capote" "The Constant Gardener" "A History of Violence" "Syriana"

Directors Guild

George Clooney, "Good Night, and Good Luck" Paul Haggis, "Crash" Ang Lee, "Brokeback Mountain" Bennett Miller, "Capote" Steven Spielberg, "Munich"

Screen Actors Guild

Performances by a Cast

"Brokeback Mountain" "Capote" "Crash" "Good Night, and Good Luck" "Hustle & Flow"

Male Performance

Russell Crowe, "Cinderella Man" Philip Seymour Hoffman, "Capote" Heath Ledger, "Brokeback Mountain" Joaquin Phoenix, "Walk the Line" David Strathairn, "Good Night, and Good Luck"

Female Performance

Judi Dench, "Mrs. Henderson Presents" Felicity Huffman, "Transamerica" Charlize Theron, "North Country" Reese Witherspoon, "Walk the Line" Ziyi Zhang, "Memoirs of a Geisha"

Supporting Performance -- Male

Don Cheadle, "Crash" George Clooney, "Syriana" Matt Dillon, "Crash" Paul Giamatti, "Cinderella Man" Jake Gyllenhaal, "Brokeback Mountain"

Supporting Performance -- Female

Amy Adams, "Junebug" Catherine Keener, "Capote" Frances McDormand, "North Country" Rachel Weisz, "The Constant Gardener" Michelle Williams, "Brokeback Mountain"

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